EdgeLV
Four things you can verify yourself
All free, no signup. Every tool states its algorithm so you can recompute the result.
Risk-of-ruin calculator
Enter bankroll, unit size and session length. Ten thousand Monte Carlo runs give your chance of busting before you walk away.
Open →Expected-value calculator
True EV for banker, player, tie and pair bets under 5% commission, no-commission Super 6 and 9:1 tie rules, plus what an hour costs.
Open →Betting-system simulator
Martingale, 1-3-2-4, D’Alembert, flat — ten thousand complete sessions, the outcome distribution and the realised loss rate.
Open →Pattern tester
Enter a road pattern, count it across random shoes, and watch a multiple-comparison correction dissolve the "significant" result.
Open →About these
Why these four
Four questions, not four features
Each tool answers one concrete question: will my bankroll last until I walk away, what does an hour of each bet actually cost, does switching progression change anything, and does the pattern I spotted hold up. Each one computes a number and stops there. None of them steers you toward a decision.
Every algorithm is stated on the page
Each tool carries a "method" section explaining where the probabilities come from, how the result is computed, and how large the error is. The probabilities come from an exact recursive enumeration of all 416 cards across eight decks, dealt without replacement — not a lookup table and not a simulation. Recompute them yourself; if a number disagrees, tell us.
Everything runs in your browser
No backend, no account, and the numbers you type never leave your device. The simulation tools (betting systems, pattern tester) generate shoes on the spot when you press the button, so results vary slightly between runs. That is inherent to Monte Carlo, not a bug.
| Tool | Question it answers | Method |
|---|---|---|
| Risk-of-ruin calculator | Will this bankroll survive until I walk away? | Exact dynamic programming (not simulated) |
| Expected-value calculator | What does each bet truly cost per hour? | Closed-form EV on enumerated probabilities |
| Betting-system simulator | Does changing progression change the outcome? | 100,000 complete sessions, Monte Carlo |
| Pattern tester | Does the road pattern I spotted hold up? | Single-proportion test + Bonferroni |
All free, no signup. None of the four predicts the next hand or offers betting advice — they tell you what the mathematics says will happen.
Frequently asked
- Do these cost anything? Is an account needed?
- Neither. All four are free and require no signup. Everything is computed in your browser and the numbers you enter are never uploaded.
- Where do the probabilities come from?
- From an exact recursive enumeration of eight decks (416 cards) dealt one at a time without replacement, covering every drawing branch: banker 45.8597%, player 44.6247%, tie 9.5156%. All outcome probabilities sum to 0.999999999999, the remainder being floating-point rounding. Nothing is sampled, so there is no sampling error.
- Will these tools help me win?
- No. Their purpose is to show you why you cannot. Every main bet in baccarat has negative expectation, and these four tools verify that same fact from four angles: expected value, bankroll, staking strategy and pattern recognition.
- Do they work on a phone?
- Yes, all four pages are responsive. The simulation tools run slower on a phone — 100,000 sessions takes a few seconds — but the results are identical.